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Incline Investment Management - Crystal Bay Ubitrend



Principal(s): Jakub Rehor
Strategy: Systematic / Trend Following / Diversified
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Investment Restrictions: 4.7 Exempt - QEPs Only++
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Statistics & Program Information

Jan Return   -0.14% Worst Drawdown (2)    -44.02% Minimum Investment   $250,000
YTD Return   -0.14% Losing Streak (3)    -26.97 % AUM (5)   $4,000,000
Annual CROR (1)   10.14 Sharpe Ratio (4)   0.45 Calmar Ratio (6)    0.67
Trading Methodology
100% Systematic
Style Sub-Categories
Quantitative

Trading Style
100% Trend Following
Market Sector
20% Stock Indices
21% Currencies
16% Financials
8% Metals
7% Energies
11% Agriculturals
3% Meats
7% Softs
7%
Holding Period
2% Long Term
32% Medium Term
65% Short Term
1% Intraday
Sector
Global
Contracts
Futures

Start Date   Jan-2013 Currency   US Dollar Margin (7)   20-75%
New Money   Yes AUM (5)   $4,000,000 Management Fee    2.00%
Min Investment    $250,000 Annual CROR (1)   10.14 Incentive Fee    20.00%
Fund Minimum    $0 Losing Streak (3)    -26.97 % Other Fees   None
Notional Funds    Yes Worst Drawdown (2)    -44.02 % Avg Comm (8)   $7.6
NFA Member    Yes Sharpe Ratio (4)    0.45 Max Comm (9)   
NFA Number    0418078 Calmar Ratio (6)    0.67 Round Turns (10)    4,100
Starting Date:  Jan-2013 Currency:  US Dollar
Open to New Investors:  Yes Current Assets:  $4,000,000
Open to US Investors:  Yes Annual CROR:  10.14%
Minimum Fund Investment:  $0 Worst Monthly Drawdown:  -44.02
Minimum Managed Account:  $250,000 Current Losing Streak:  -26.97 %
Domocile:   Calmar:  0.67
Subscriptions:  N/A Sharpe Ratio:  0.45
Redemptions:  N/A US Attorney:  Not Listed
Lock Up:  N/A Offshore Attorney:  Not Listed
Hurdle Rate:  N/A Administrator:  Not Listed
Administraton Fee:  0.00% Prime Broker:  Not Listed
Management Fee:  2.00% Auditor:  Not Listed
Incentive Fee:  20.00% NFA Member:  Yes
Other Fees:  None FINRA Member:  No
Other Memberships:  None
Type of Fund:
Domicile:
Strategy:
Track Record Prepared By: Self-Prepared
Correlations:

P - Proprietary Trading Results * C - Client Trading Result * P&C - Combines Client & Proprietary Trading Results (the accounting notes will identify the time frame for each.

1. Rates of Return: Rate of Returns are calculated from the start date of each program. Usually returns are calculated based on the Annual Compounded Rate of Return method. In some cases returns have been calculated on a Non-Compounded basis. This would occur when a Manager trades based on account unit rather than on account equity.

The Annual Compound Rate of Return ("Annual CROR") represents the compounded rate of return or each year or portion thereof presented. It is computed by applying successively respective monthly rate of return for each month beginning with the first month of that period. The Annual Rate of Return ("Annual ROR") is the annualized Mean Return.

2. The Worst Peak-to-Valley Drawdown ("Worst Drawdown") is defined as the greatest cumulative percentage decline in net asset value due to losses sustained by the trading program during any period in which the initial net asset value is not equaled or exceeded by a subsequent asset value.

3. Start & End Dates: Indicates the Start and End Dates of the Worst Peak-to-Valley Drawdown.

4. The Current Losing Streak ("Losing Streak") represents the extent of the Advisor's current drawdown.

5. Annualzied Standard Deviation is one way to look at consistency of returns. It measures the degree by which the monthly returns vary from the average (mean) return.

6. Downside Deviation is a measure of downside volatility. It only considers those monthly performance results that are less than the monthly Minimum Acceptable Rate of Return.

7. The Sharpe Ratio is a risk-adjusted ratio that rewards consistency of returns. Traders are penalized for volatility regardless of whether it is on the up or downside. The Sharpe Ratios is calculated using a 1% risk-free rate of return.

8. The Sortino Ratio is a risk-adjusted ratio. The higher the number the better. Results are dependent upon the Minimum Acceptable Rate of Return (currently set at 5%.

9. The Sterling Ratio is a risk-adjusted return measurement calculated by dividing the Annualized Compound ROR by the Average Yearly Maximum Drawdown less an arbitrary 10%. The Sterling Ratio is normally calculated using the last 36 months of data.

10. The Calmar Ratio represents the historical amount gained for each dollar risked. A higher number is better. Unless otherwise denoted the Calmar Ratio is calculated by dividing the 36 month Compounded ROR by the 36 month Peak to Valley Drawdown. Traders with less than 36 months of data or a negative Calmar Ratio will be indicated by N/A.

11. The Omega Function accounts for the non-normal distributions of returns and takes into account the investor's preferences for loss and gain. Omega is computed directly from the returns distribution and measures the total impact of the moments instead of each one of them individually.

12. Minimum Investment represents the minimum account size.

13. Assets Under Management ("AUM") represents the current nominal assets traded by the Manager.

14. The Number of Winning Months represents the months with positive return.

15. The Number of Losing Months represents the months with negative return.

16. The Percentage of Winning Months represents the % of winning months.

17. Margin to Equity ("Margin") represents the average margin as a percent of a fully funded account.

18. Round Turns per Million ("Round Turns") represent the average number of round turns that would be generated in a $1,000,000 account.

19. Average Commission ("Avg Comm") represents the average commission rate of the composite track record. A higher or lower commission rate would increase or decrease the performance accordingly.

20. Maximum Commisions ("Max Comm") is the Maximum Round Turn Rate allowable by the Manager.

Trading Description, Risk Strategy & Background

The strategy identifies medium-term trends in futures markets and takes positions to benefit from persistence of these trends. The strategy utilizes only price indicators, eschewing fundamental analysis, and avoids any discretionary overlays, relying instead on purely systematic, back-tested approach. The strategy covers a broad universe of over 100 futures contracts traded on exchanges around the world, including North America (including Canada and Mexico), Europe, Asia, and Australia.

Mr. Rehor has 20 years of experience in investment management. After working as a business analyst at McKinsey & Co., he started his Wall Street career in 1997 as technology sector analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. From 2000 to 2004 he worked as equity analyst at Putnam Investments on the team managing the International Capital Opportunities Fund (PNVAX). From 2004 until 2013, he was an analyst and portfolio manager at Third Avenue Management where he was a partner and co-manager of the $1 billion+ Third Avenue International Value Fund (TAVIX). Mr. Rehor is the founder of investment company Ubival. He graduated from Yale University with a BA in Economics, summa cum laude. He is a CFA Charterholder and holds the Certificate in Quantitative Finance from CQF Institute in London.

Crystal Bay Ubitrend strategy uses quantitative risk management techniques originally used in equity markets to build the most broadly diversified portfolios. Portfolio construction maximizes diversification of exposures subject to limits on portfolio volatility, value at risk, and tail risk measures. Individual positions are also subject to stop-loss limits. The risk management process aims to generate positively skewed returns, with small losses and large gains, with a volatility above that of the benchmark (SG Trend index). The volatility target can be customized to meet individual clients’ preferences.

Monthly Performance Since December 2013

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecROR Max DD
2023 -0.14%   -0.14% -0.14%
2022 -0.83% 10.22% 11.68% 13.23% -4.21% 1.23% -16.74% 1.08% 19.00% -7.59% -17.13% -1.66% 1.09% -26.87%
2021 0.37% 12.22% -2.75% 11.32% -0.24% -6.10% 9.53% -4.91% -4.18% 8.84% -10.12% 3.65% 15.59% -10.87%
2020 -7.70% 1.42% 8.89% -1.61% -2.63% -2.07% 6.45% 6.15% -8.44% 6.25% 9.97% 12.61% 30.18% -8.44%
2019 -1.33% -4.29% -1.91% 3.10% 0.41% -6.06% 1.51% 10.45% -17.59% -3.25% 2.32% 9.44% -9.82% -20.27%
2018 -3.44% -6.55% -6.64% 0.55% -0.46% -1.51% 0.25% 2.00% -4.72% -1.02% -2.93% 2.34% -20.44% -22.26%

Annual Performance

Years201320142015201620172018
ROR-4.37%124.13%-5.50%2.93%6.67%-20.44%
Max DD-4.37%-6.66%-21.48%-18.02%-14.89%-22.26%

Years20192020202120222023 YTD
ROR-9.82%30.18%15.59%1.09%-0.14%
Max DD-20.27%-8.44%-10.87%-26.87%-0.14%



PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE SUCCESS. THERE IS A RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING.

VAMI, Assets under Management & Worst Drawdown

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Monthly Returns

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RISK DISCLOSURE

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

THIS MATTER IS INTENDED AS A SOLICITATION FOR MANAGED FUTURES. THE RISK OF TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND/OR FOREIGN EXCHANGE ('FOREX') IS SUBSTANTIAL. THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE ASSOCIATED WITH COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. THIS HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE CAN RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL LOSSES, AS WELL AS GAINS. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. IF YOU ARE UNSURE YOU SHOULD SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. AN INVESTOR MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE CTA’S CURRENT DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT BEFORE INVESTING. THERE ARE NO GUARANTEES OF PROFIT NO MATTER WHO IS MANAGING YOUR MONEY.

PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE SUCCESS. IN SOME CASES MANAGED ACCOUNTS ARE CHARGED SUBSTANTIAL COMMISSIONS AND ADVISORY FEES. THOSE ACCOUNTS SUBJECT TO THESE CHARGES, MAY NEED TO MAKE SUBSTANTIAL TRADING PROFITS JUST TO AVOID DEPLETION OF THEIR ASSETS. EACH COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR ("CTA") IS REQUIRED BY THE COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING COMMISSION ("CFTC") TO ISSUE TO PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS A RISK DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT OUTLINING THESE FEES, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST AND OTHER ASSOCIATED RISKS. A HARD COPY OF THESE RISK DISCLOSURE DOCUMENTS ARE READILY AVAILABLE BY CLICKING ON EACH CTA'S "REQUEST DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT" BUTTON.

THE FULL RISK OF COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FOREX TRADING CAN NOT BE ADDRESSED IN THIS RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT. NO CONSIDERATION TO INVEST SHOULD BE MADE WITHOUT THOROUGHLY READING THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT OF EACH OF THE CTAS IN WHICH YOU MAY HAVE AN INTEREST. REQUESTING A DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT PLACES YOU UNDER NO OBLIGATION AND EACH DOCUMENT IS PROVIDED AT NO COST. THE CFTC HAS NOT PASSED UPON THE MERITS OF PARTICIPATING IN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING PROGRAMS NOR ON THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF THE DISCLOSURE DOCUMENTS. OTHER DISCLOSURE STATEMENTS ARE REQUIRED TO BE PROVIDED TO YOU BEFORE AN ACCOUNT MAY BE OPENED FOR YOU.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS SHOULD NOT BASE THEIR DECISION ON INVESTING IN THIS TRADING PROGRAM SOLELY ON THE PAST PERFORMANCE PRESENTED. ADDITIONALLY, IN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION, PROSPECTIVE CLIENTS MUST ALSO RELY ON THEIR OWN EXAMINATION OF THE PERSON OR ENTITY MAKING THE TRADING DECISIONS AND THE TERMS OF THE ADVISORY AGREEMENT INCLUDING THE MERITS AND RISKS INVOLVED.

AUTUMN GOLD CTA INDEXES ARE NON-INVESTABLE INDEXES COMPRISED OF THE CLIENT PERFORMANCE OF CTA PROGRAMS INCLUDED IN THE AUTUMN GOLD DATABASE AND DO NOT REPRESENT THE COMPLETE UNIVERSE OF CTAS. INVESTORS SHOULD NOTE THAT IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO INVEST IN THESE INDEXES.